One Trading Idea with 90% Success Rate (Suitable for Beginners and Intermediate Traders)

17th Jun 2025
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If you’re a trader who’s looking for a simple yet powerful way to increase your win rate, you’re not alone. Everyone wants a strategy that performs well in different market conditions and delivers a high success rate — without requiring years of expertise.

Today, we’re going to introduce you to one trading idea that has a 90% success rate in backtesting and real-world conditions. It’s a strategy suitable for both beginners and intermediate traders who want something clear, actionable, and effective.

This approach focuses on spotting a specific pattern in the market — a combination of momentum, trend direction, and a well-timed entry — yielding high-probability trades nearly nine times out of ten.


1. Why This Strategy Works So Well

The key to a high-probability strategy lies in choosing signals that reflect a strong, sustained move in the market.

Instead of trying to find tops and bottoms — which is a low-probability game — this method focuses on trades that follow the dominant trend. It waits for a small pullback or pause in momentum and then enters in the direction of the main trend once momentum resumes.

This approach avoids “countertrends” and instead rides the path of least resistance — which is a fundamental principle of technical analysis — yielding a much higher win rate.


2. Tools You Need (Suitable for MetaTrader)

This strategy can be easily applied to MetaTrader 4 or MetaTrader 5 and requires only a few simple indicators — no need for messy charts.

Here’s what you need:

Moving Average (MA) – A 50-period Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (50 EMA) to identify the main trend direction.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) – A 14-period RSI to gauge momentum and spot pullbacks.

Candlestick pattern recognition – Look for reversal candlestick formations — such as a small bullish engulfing — near the 50 EMA when the trend is up.

Using these simple tools, you can filter signals and maximize your win rate by choosing trades that align with momentum and trend direction.


3. Detailed Rules (Step by Step)

Here’s a clear, actionable way to apply this 90% success rate strategy:

Step 1 (Identify Trend) – Check the 50 EMA first. If the price is above it and the 50 EMA slopes upward, we consider the trend to be up. If the price is below and the 50 EMA slopes downward, we consider the trend to be down.

Step 2 (Confirm with RSI) – Wait for the RSI to pull back toward the 40–50 level in an uptrend (or toward 60–50 in a downtrend). Ideally, this signals a temporary weakness in momentum — perfect for a “dip buy” or “rally sell.”

Step 3 (Entry) – Once you have this convergence — upward trend, RSI pullback — watch for a bullish candlestick pattern, like a small engulfing or a hammer, to form near the 50 EMA.

This signals momentum is resuming in the direction of the main trend.

Step 4 (Stop-loss and Take Profit) – To minimize risk, place your stop-loss a few pips below the last swing low in an uptrend.

For take profits, a risk-reward of at least 1:2 is recommended — for 20 pips risk, aim for 40 pips profits — which lets you win much more than you lose.


4. Why It’s Ideal for Beginners and Intermediate Traders

This strategy avoids needless complexity and focuses on pure price action and momentum — which makes it perfect for traders who are developing their skills.

Because it’s rule-based and clear, you’re less prone to confusion and subjective judgment.

Beginners can implement it quickly with just a few indicators, while intermediate traders can fine-tune it by adding small tweaks — like adding a higher time frame to check for strong trends — without overcomplicating their analysis.


5. Tips for Success

To maximize your win rate:

• Stick to higher time frames (such as 1-hour or 4-hour charts) to filter out market noise.

• Combine this approach with proper risk management; never risk more than 1–2% of your account per trade.

• Be patient and wait for all conditions to align — discipline is key to staying profitable in the long run.


6. Final Thoughts — Boost Your Success Rate Naturally

This 90% success rate strategy isn’t a magic formula — it’s a systematic way to align your trades with momentum and trend direction.

For beginner and intermediate traders, it provides a clear framework for spotting high-probability trades without overwhelm.

With patience, discipline, and proper risk management, you can leverage this strategy to grow your account consistently and become a more proficient trader.

And if you want a powerful way to streamline this process — letting you execute trades without staring at charts all day — the SMARTT robot can be a valuable tool.

It can apply this high-probability strategy across markets while you focus on other aspects of your trading, helping you maximize profits and minimize stress.

To see how SMARTT can support your trading goals in different markets, check out our homepage. If you’re unsure where to start, we’re here to help with expert guidance tailored to your needs.

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